April 28, 2024

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[SONDAGE] Legault “politically unpopular”: CAQ collapses, PQ leads

[SONDAGE] Legault “politically unpopular”: CAQ collapses, PQ leads

Nothing is going right for François Legault, whose romance rating continues to decline. The CAQ’s decline in voting intentions allows the Parti Québécois to take the lead for the first time in nearly ten years.

• Read more: Poll: Quebecers increasingly disaffected with Legault and Trudeau

• Read more: Legault’s unpopularity stems from his disastrous 2022 campaign

• Read more: François Legault must forget his popularity

CAQ troops now have only 25% support from Quebecers, a five-point drop from last month and a dizzying 16-point drop in a year, a leger reveals.Newspaper. Even in the eyes of many CAQ voters, François Legault is not considered the best person to occupy the post of prime minister.

“We are talking about a man who three years ago achieved stratospheric satisfaction rates, then who, today, is not liked by politics,” analyzes the company’s president, Jean-Marc Léger.

Since June, discontent has been growing. Just under 63% of those surveyed are dissatisfied with François Legault’s government. A “crack” appears even among its own customers, while one in five CAQ members disapprove of state management.

The rising cost of living affects many governments around the world and Quebec is no exception. But it is clear that several errors have undermined the CAQ’s popularity.

Kings and 3e connection

If they criticize François Legault for failing to improve the health system and the education network, Quebecers do not digest the 30% salary increase given to representatives or the controversial subsidy to the Kings of Los Angeles. Procrastination is about 3e The Quebec-Lewis merger and the stalled negotiations with the public sector have angered many citizens.

This wave of discontent benefits the PQ of Paul St-Pierre Plamonton, who now holds first place in the hearts of Quebecers. The Freedom Party enjoys 31% support in voting intentions and dominates among French-speakers.

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If elections were held today, “a 6% lead among French speakers would bring the PQ close to a majority,” underlines Jean-Marc Léger, adding, however, that this is a very theoretical three-year projection. Before the next election.

PSPP is approaching its ceiling

But be careful, support for PQ is “fragile”. Because the PSPP attracts more Quebecers, Quebec’s plan stagnates at 34%. Even more so, 47% of citizens want Quebec to sign the Canadian Constitution of 1982 and “be a province like any other”.

“Sovereignty is not increasing, which means PSPP is approaching its ceiling,” the pollster splits.

Not all of his new supporters were separatists. In addition to the sovereigns back home, the PSPP is now “picking up” disaffected CAQ members who are not interested in making Quebec a country. The MCA leader’s rush to hold a referendum in his first term may discourage voters.

So the independent leader has to do “a balancing act” between now and the next elections. “The more we talk about sovereignty, the more these people go away. Conversely, 40% of CAQ members are still sovereigntists, but they have not yet made the trip to the PQ.”

On the side of unity, we can be happy with a slight increase of two points in the last month. Fewer than 15% of Quebecers see Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois as a politician who would make the best prime minister, after a vote of confidence by his operatives about ten days ago.