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Justin Trudeau calls them to defend his carbon price, Pierre Poilievre tries to demolish it: Parliamentary Budget Officer Yves Giroux's figures are used in every way. Overview and preview of upcoming battles to see more clearly.
In front of his troops gathered in caucus last week, Pierre Poilevre hit out for the umpteenth time on his intention to scrap the carbon tax if the Conservatives win the next election. But he gave his new attacker a warning: from now on, he would attack Dangerous misinformation
Carbon pricing by Justin Trudeau.
Shaking the papers with data from a report by Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) Yves Giroux released last year, the Conservative leader argued that, in most cases, households pay more in taxes than they get back from Ottawa. We know that Trudeau's claim that you got the money back is a lie
He began in the presence of his representatives and senators.
Hours later, during Question Time in the Commons, Justin Trudeau responded precisely the opposite, calling for more statements. DBP. The Parliamentary Budget Officer's report clearly indicates that across all parts of the country where pollution pricing applies, eight out of ten Canadian households get back more money than they pay each year.
Who is telling the truth?
Yves Giroux explains in an interview that the simple and flat answer is both correct. The apparent contradiction is that both see different sides of the same coin.
So, Justin Trudeau is right to argue that in provinces where federal taxes apply, Canadians get more money back than they pay in taxes. In other words, if we eliminated price fixing as the conservatives want, it would leave 8 out of 10 people in poverty.
According to Yves Giroux, Pierre Poilievre is also correct if we take into account the effects of pricing on the economy as a whole, including sectors that produce or use fossil fuels.
: slightly lower salaries, slightly lower returns on their investments, for example.”,”text”:”Economic activity, profits, and employment in these sectors are slightly lower than in the case of no carbon tax. Yves Giroux. Families get a little less overall: a little less pay, a little less return on their investments, for example.”}}”>Economic activity, profits and employment are slightly lower in these sectors than in a scenario without a carbon tax, notes Yves Giroux. Families get a little less overall: a little less pay, a little less return on their investments, for example.
Parliamentary Budget Officer, Yves Giroux
Photo: The Canadian Press / Adrian Wilde
The DBP However, he emphasizes one point he considers important: From the moment we decide we're going to fight climate change and reduce our emissions, everything we do has a cost.
So alternatives to carbon pricing – subsidies or tighter environmental regulations – have an impact on public money or people's personal finances. They are generally rated by economists as expensive and less efficient.
The cost of doing nothing is more difficult to quantify, but it can be astronomical. Yves Giroux dared to assess the cost of inaction in a report published in November 2022. He concluded that the impact of climate change will have an impact on climate change. GDP Canada's real rate in 2100 is 5.8%. However, he pointed out the limitations of his analysis, noting that there will also be climate change. Multiple effects such as health, well-being, impact on nature and ecosystems
.
A second carbon tax?
In a speech to his caucus, Pierre Poilivre warned Canadians and Quebecers. The second is a carbon tax
. A second carbon tax applies directly to Quebec, at 17 cents per liter or 20 cents if sales tax is added to the gasoline tax.
The measure the Conservative leader is referring to is not actually a tax. Instead, clean fuel regulations require a 15% reduction in the carbon intensity of fuels by 2030 from 2016 levels. In other words, Ottawa wants the gasoline and diesel coming out of refineries to become progressively cleaner over time.
DBP. But it's a way of making fuels emit slightly less greenhouse gases, which has the side effect of raising the price of these fuels.”,”text”:”It's not a tax, the DPB corrects. But it is a way to slightly reduce the amount of fuel that emits greenhouse gases, which has the side effect of raising fuel prices.”}}”>It's not tax, fix it DBP. But this is a way of making fuels emit slightly less greenhouse gases, which has the side effect of increasing the price of these fuels.
In a report released last May, he estimated that higher demand would increase petrol prices by 17 paise per litre. However, he estimated that this cost would not be realized immediately, but rather in 2030.
Thus, the The second line
Not one, but the effects of the new regulations are not immediately felt in Canadians' wallets.
Battle of the Message: Round 2
It took some time for liberals to realize how easy it was to get dizzy in this avalanche of numbers, and how conservatives were taking advantage of this confusion.
For months, liberals have given conservatives most of the media space on this issue, so this landmark move is more threatening than ever. They are now playing to get some space in front of the microphones.
Justin Trudeau sent a letter to the premiers of the reviewed provinces on Tuesday, praising the merits of carbon pricing and reminding them that they have the freedom to follow whatever method suits them.
The conflict between these provinces and Ottawa seems so crystallized that it would be a real surprise if the Prime Minister could pacify them with a simple attack. His letter was part of a broader approach aimed at persuading voters of the merits of his policies.
On Wednesday, Justin Trudeau also raised his voice in lamenting these prime ministers Canadians complain, attack and cheat for political gains
. Conservative politicians do not tell the truth
He decided.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau
Photo: The Canadian Press / Ethan Cairns
This week, economists across the country felt the need to come to the rescue of liberals by signing an open letter debunking five persistent myths about carbon pricing.
What shocks me is that everything is a myth. It seems like a concerted strategy
Maya Babineau of Carleton University, one of the letter's signatories, notes in an interview.
If the Conservatives want to achieve our goals, yes, there are other methods, but all other methods cost families more and the economy more.
The economist notes.
While Justin Trudeau appears to have lost the first round of the news battle over carbon pricing, Pierre Poilivre won't necessarily win the next one.
At this point, the Conservative leader has not indicated whether he will maintain Canada's greenhouse gas reduction targets or how to fight climate change.
In collaboration with Mary Chabot-Johnson
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