The fourth wave will soon follow us

(Ottawa) Current transfer rates are expected to “begin to fade” in the coming weeks of the fourth wave of the epidemic, according to forecasts released by the federal government on Friday.

Melanie Marquis

Melanie Marquis

“Despite the real challenges we face as current wave peaks, efforts allow us to remain optimistic, but we need to be aware of the need to be vigilant in the coming months,” the CEO of the Public Health Institute of Canada (PHAC) said at the outset.Re Theresa Tham.

He announced at a virtual press conference that if the current exchange levels remain stable, the number of Govt-19 cases will decrease in October and November, and therefore, this fourth wave may soon follow us. The national average daily number of new infections for the past seven days is 3,745.

Image courtesy of the Public Health Agency of Canada

Incentive data on the most recent federal modeling: The reproduction rate (Rt value) is less than 1 for two weeks – this is the first time since mid-July. This means that “the epidemic is no longer growing across the country,” the documents read.

But be careful, we should not seek success too quickly, because the Rt value is “falling below 1 nationally, and it may be equal to or greater than 1 in some areas”, and in an epidemiological situation, the value “must be kept constantly down” if we want to regain control. D warnedRe Tom.

Image courtesy of the Public Health Agency of Canada

By maintaining public health activities such as wearing a mask and physical rest, and continuing the vaccination effort, it is essential to remain vigilant in the fall and winter.

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Because “in recent months, we have learned difficult lessons about measures that are too loose or too quickly relaxed, especially when immunization coverage is low,” the vice president of public health said.R. Howard Ng.

Image courtesy of the Public Health Agency of Canada

Also, immunization coverage varies greatly from one region to another. It is less in rural British Columbia, Alberta and Saskatchewan and in the northwest.

It is random according to age groups. “The greatest lack of population protection” is found in people between the ages of 18 and 39. This is a trend that has continued since the start of the vaccination campaign.

Image courtesy of the Public Health Agency of Canada

Across Canada, as of October 8, 88% of people aged 12 and over had received at least one dose of the vaccine, and 82% had received two doses. In all, more than 27 million Canadians, of a population of about 38 million, have been adequately vaccinated and nearly 57 million doses have been injected, according to PHAC.

Third dose and baby vaccine

Until further notice, the protection provided by the two-dose vaccine is adequate, so there is no need to invite the public to inject a third dose “for now”, D is providedR. Nju. Over time, that is sure to decrease […], But we definitely have good protection against serious diseases, ”he explained.

On the other hand, the expansion of the vaccine for children between the ages of 5 and 11 is a “light” on the horizon, according to his employer, D.C.Re Tom. A step was taken in this case a few days ago, when the drug Pfizer Health submitted the results of clinical trials on its baby vaccine to Canada.

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Review in Quebec

The downward trend of cases continues in Quebec, but the number of hospitalizations remains stable, while deaths are slightly higher. The province registered 643 new cases on Friday, bringing the seven-day daily average to 536. This trend is down 15% in a week.

There are currently 302 people hospitalized in Quebec due to Govt-19, which is 5 more than the previous day. This trend has been stable for a week. In intensive care, there are 86 patients, 2 less than the previous day.

In addition, 5 deaths increased the number of Quebecs, bringing the total death toll to 11,410 since the outbreak began. A week-long trend to death is just above.

Combined with all ages, 78.6% of Cubs have received at least one dose of vaccine and 75.6% have been fully vaccinated.

With Pierre-Andre Normandy, Press

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